The Dow’s Hot July

July 17th, 2019 by Legacy Wealth Planning

Blue chip stocks have been on a tear this month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) has risen 2.8% in July, the best performer of the four benchmark stock indexes we track. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, The Dow’s Hot July, the Dow also posted three straight record closes (through July 15) for the first time since January 2018.

The Dow’s performance this month has been especially encouraging after a relatively muted start to the year. The Dow was the worst performer in the first half of 2019 among the benchmark stock indexes, and the index failed to post a record high in the first half of the year (the second time that’s happened since 2012).

To be fair, it was a tough environment for the Dow. Breakdowns in U.S.-China trade talks and signs of slowing global growth increased the negative sentiment for U.S. large caps. Then, the tide turned in June with Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut speculation and a U.S.-China trade truce.

“Large cap companies in the Dow are more internationally exposed, so they tend to benefit as global economic sentiment improves,” said LPL Research Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch. “Progress in trade talks has alleviated trade tensions somewhat, and a Fed rate cut could provide an additional boost to global equity markets.”

Even though we’re neutral on U.S. equities as a whole, we slightly favor large cap stocks over small cap stocks, as we mentioned in our Midyear Outlook 2019. Large cap stocks could benefit from continued progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations, an aging business cycle, and a global economic rebound.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual security. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted.

All indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.

Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee return or eliminate risk in all market environments.

This Research material was prepared by LPL Financial, LLC.

Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial (LPL), a registered investment advisor and broker-dealer (Member FINRA/SIPC).  Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.  To the extent you are receiving investment advice from a separately registered independent investment advisor, please note that LPL is not an affiliate of and makes no representation with respect to such entity.

If your advisor is located at a bank or credit union, please note that the bank/credit union is not registered as a broker-dealer or investment advisor. Registered representatives of LPL may also be employees of the bank/credit union. These products and services are being offered through LPL or its affiliates, which are separate entities from, and not affiliates of, the bank/credit union. Securities and insurance offered through LPL or its affiliates are:

Not FDIC or NCUA/NCUSIF Insured | No Bank or Credit Union Guarantee | May Lose Value | Not Guaranteed by Any Government Agency | Not a Bank/Credit Union Deposit

Member FINRA /SIPC

For Public Use | Tracking # 1-873486

Comments are closed.